Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 15.265182 17.793314 20.546507 23.759255 27.396710 31.378444 36.057835
2025-05-04 11.246552 14.764990 18.989127 24.392460 31.074561 39.018145 49.121893
2025-05-11 8.628018 12.475280 17.468324 24.328428 33.399584 44.862824 60.303953
2025-05-18 6.766284 10.643881 16.025470 23.878816 34.854174 49.428665 69.980035
2025-05-25 5.413389 9.196404 14.773848 23.358802 35.947955 53.390161 78.954566
2025-06-01 4.388034 8.013204 13.666557 22.802773 36.792907 56.920083 87.437143
2025-06-08 3.466196 6.804395 12.307415 21.632650 36.517841 58.710874 93.447351
2025-06-15 3.115643 6.488366 12.303494 22.537297 39.415661 65.289548 106.793095
2025-06-22 2.745811 6.065071 12.047356 22.970872 41.564137 70.834206 118.890842
2025-06-29 2.312076 5.436432 11.335876 22.528459 42.206723 74.033208 127.528952
2025-07-06 1.894687 4.755808 10.424771 21.608763 41.925436 75.684591 133.767526
2025-07-13 1.792951 4.720040 10.725019 22.907325 45.555373 83.909081 150.978695
2025-07-20 1.680901 4.666341 11.031032 24.343634 49.722075 93.587207 171.643243
2025-07-27 1.489445 4.397191 10.875774 24.904720 52.414415 101.060650 189.314409
2025-08-03 1.273855 4.018531 10.428198 24.824326 53.897462 106.536349 203.950515
2025-08-10 1.066871 3.607844 9.838050 24.364133 54.587591 110.622182 216.397744
2025-08-17 0.890179 3.230452 9.255893 23.834528 55.067052 114.322921 228.343241
2025-08-24 0.740895 2.888363 8.694936 23.268638 55.397946 117.736977 239.931482
2025-08-31 0.588664 2.487766 7.910049 22.077819 54.298912 118.343323 246.392503
2025-09-07 0.545707 2.433247 8.018577 22.998466 57.755055 127.912691 269.961624
2025-09-14 0.489323 2.315371 7.934722 23.439678 60.199533 135.638481 290.448356
2025-09-21 0.411526 2.092750 7.515294 22.989472 60.619926 139.353393 303.471505
2025-09-28 0.332634 1.834668 6.938943 22.053505 59.839125 140.566107 311.692098